TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9823046.5%107 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over47c1,885$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99910142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under51c879.11$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.3534357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c686.83$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.152,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Under52c527.96$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.5414449.3%71 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff1…3972backed Over48c404.4$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over49c226.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.843823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc74b…4e15backed Under45c222.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over49c221$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7110252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Over55c212.44$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.640163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3313527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x221c…d3c1backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3311325.7%29 W · 84 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under54c197.76$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6916452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0422…ae21backed Over64c151.81$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.396045%27 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x39e7…0fc7backed Over49c108.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.693154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0811631.9%37 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2732254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2755942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under52c39.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.83,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Over47c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.532941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4913544.4%60 W · 75 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.