MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31caea80314cb22e9373a368ef18f480aa16beec6b31e5cc20b33ad624430bac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Kia Tigers, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kia Tigers | 25c | 660.17$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.9 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 47c | 628.79$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.53 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 371.23$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 64c | 312.63$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 6c | 189.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 77c | 180.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…0cbfbacked Lotte Giants | 57c | 174.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Kia Tigers | 21c | 143.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 36c | 107.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kia Tigers | 47c | 64.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 63.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 54.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lotte Giants | 53c | 50.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…b4b5backed Kia Tigers | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Kia Tigers | 45c | 48.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 25c | 39.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Lotte Giants | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…b267backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b91…8510backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…faa0backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 24.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…6812backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 22.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…b05ebacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 20.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c33…50a6backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 20.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 20.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Lotte Giants | 76c | 18.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.