South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32089f10179d1b7a5e9d300b9fccb0b0b55f2dbb0e086be0408206cadc89a8b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 36c | 3,653$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 641.42$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 64c | 591.66$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 550$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked No | 67c | 383.58$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 64c | 338.62$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 63c | 254.04$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 234$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 230$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 229.03$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 97.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Yes | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Yes | 36c | 86.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.