Tennis · resolved market
ITF Zhengzhou: Rinko Matsuda vs Hanna Chang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3236eae96c4792a1b3dad715c30a9f0120d6059363ca41d7889b0f6508d5e0b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rinko Matsudaof Rinko Matsuda, Hanna Chang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rinko Matsuda | 22c | 1,100$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hanna Chang | 46c | 716.79$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.49 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Hanna Chang | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Rinko Matsuda | 17c | 588$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.04 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Rinko Matsuda | 23c | 421.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.74 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Hanna Chang | 48c | 393.42$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.14 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Rinko Matsuda | 32c | 371.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Hanna Chang | 69c | 243.77$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.09 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Hanna Chang | 72c | 233.88$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.07 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Rinko Matsuda | 72c | 169.82$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hanna Chang | 73c | 149.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rinko Matsuda | 35c | 144.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Hanna Chang | 66c | 139.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Hanna Chang | 48c | 120.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…ea33backed Hanna Chang | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 80cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rinko Matsuda | 34c | 99.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Rinko Matsuda | 31c | 78.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hanna Chang | 42c | 67.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rinko Matsuda | 36c | 59.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rinko Matsuda | 50c | 58.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Rinko Matsuda | 68c | 49.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Hanna Chang | 46c | 47.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rinko Matsuda | 47c | 45.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Rinko Matsuda | 59c | 40.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Rinko Matsuda | 50c | 37.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Hanna Chang | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Rinko Matsuda | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rinko Matsuda | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Hanna Chang | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.