CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Rush (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x325b171d19167c3fa974a82587e93bf4c9a6f0d27cc72f11da3295113b2fb3c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rushof paiN Academy, Rush
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Rush | 51c | 383.44$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Rush | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Rush | 32c | 118.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed paiN Academy | 71c | 113.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN Academy | 75c | 107.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed Rush | 36c | 104.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked paiN Academy | 62c | 66.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…cc39backed Rush | 21c | 59.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Rush | 36c | 57.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked paiN Academy | 69c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked paiN Academy | 69c | 52.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…ae12backed paiN Academy | 67c | 49.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed paiN Academy | 61c | 38.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Rush | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked paiN Academy | 62c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN Academy | 50c | 32.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed paiN Academy | 71c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed paiN Academy | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked paiN Academy | 50c | 20.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN Academy | 70c | 19.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.