Tennis · resolved market
Campinas: Hernan Casanova vs Facundo Acosta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32f9daab6e1db9191d9b88344af68459f633b46f4700a783ddaf23fb8ab513ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hernan Casanovaof Hernan Casanova, Facundo Acosta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Facundo Acosta | 74c | 2,145$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.16 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hernan Casanova | 25c | 2,110$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.36 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Facundo Acosta | 1c | 1,881$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hernan Casanova | 53c | 1,239$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.57 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Facundo Acosta | 50c | 828.17$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.51 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hernan Casanova | 75c | 824.12$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.24 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Facundo Acosta | 55c | 696.71$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.51 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Facundo Acosta | 53c | 503.76$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.77 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Hernan Casanova | 21c | 405.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.95 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Facundo Acosta | 48c | 399.42$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Hernan Casanova | 19c | 375.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Facundo Acosta | 34c | 360.87$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.71 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Hernan Casanova | 31c | 359.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.76 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Hernan Casanova | 70c | 354.93$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Facundo Acosta | 70c | 342.28$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.88 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224e…f7ddbacked Hernan Casanova | 63c | 336.09$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.92 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hernan Casanova | 44c | 319.04$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.57 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hernan Casanova | 19c | 299.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.97 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Hernan Casanova | 18c | 277.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.4 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…baf0backed Facundo Acosta | 40c | 276$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hernan Casanova | 75c | 261.03$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Facundo Acosta | 68c | 244.87$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…275cbacked Hernan Casanova | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Facundo Acosta | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Facundo Acosta | 76c | 186$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Facundo Acosta | 43c | 173.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Hernan Casanova | 49c | 171.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…94dbbacked Hernan Casanova | 60c | 164.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Facundo Acosta | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Facundo Acosta | 30c | 140.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Facundo Acosta | 36c | 127.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Facundo Acosta | 70c | 123.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf91…dc43backed Facundo Acosta | 71c | 121$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Facundo Acosta | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Hernan Casanova | 18c | 116.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Facundo Acosta | 30c | 106$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…a461backed Hernan Casanova | 60c | 103.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Hernan Casanova | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Facundo Acosta | 71c | 99.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 165 | 60%99 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Facundo Acosta | 69c | 95.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Facundo Acosta | 51c | 90.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Facundo Acosta | 58c | 83.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 151 | 63.6%96 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Hernan Casanova | 43c | 80.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9a50backed Hernan Casanova | 58c | 80.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Facundo Acosta | 21c | 77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…1081backed Facundo Acosta | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Facundo Acosta | 39c | 62.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Hernan Casanova | 17c | 59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…323abacked Hernan Casanova | 25c | 57.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 136 | 40.4%55 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…5e20backed Facundo Acosta | 38c | 54.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Facundo Acosta | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Facundo Acosta | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Facundo Acosta | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Facundo Acosta | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Facundo Acosta | 40c | 48.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Facundo Acosta | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Facundo Acosta | 79c | 44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 41.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Facundo Acosta | 43c | 39.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hernan Casanova | 31c | 36.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Hernan Casanova | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…e189backed Hernan Casanova | 57c | 33.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Facundo Acosta | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Facundo Acosta | 64c | 33.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Facundo Acosta | 56c | 32.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Hernan Casanova | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hernan Casanova | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Facundo Acosta | 80c | 20.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Facundo Acosta | 54c | 19.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Facundo Acosta | 79c | 15.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.