Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33083a3f3bc83a07f6a26aab94dd2e45d4188477f07c80c797588a5b206978e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 40c | 29,411$11,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,764.52 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 1,822$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.3 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 59c | 461.75$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.32 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 39c | 370.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 61c | 329.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 314$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 206.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 195$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 57c | 174.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 41c | 172.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 107.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 20c | 63.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 37.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c7…848fbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.