Mls · resolved market
Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x335345ee0640a333e96b3cc9bd9079d69fc785cff995190883214086154eebf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Columbus Crewof Columbus Crew, Philadelphia Union
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Philadelphia Union | 73c | 3,168$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Columbus Crew | 34c | 984.1$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.63 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Philadelphia Union | 29c | 715.69$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Columbus Crew | 26c | 617.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.82 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Columbus Crew | 32c | 511.78$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.92 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Columbus Crew | 39c | 503.46$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.26 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Columbus Crew | 52c | 501.39$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.95 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Columbus Crew | 26c | 353.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.43 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Columbus Crew | 36c | 326.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.94 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Union | 73c | 206.61$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…7cefbacked Columbus Crew | 27c | 180.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Columbus Crew | 29c | 180$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Columbus Crew | 25c | 179.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…941dbacked Columbus Crew | 25c | 179.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Columbus Crew | 24c | 179.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.61 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Philadelphia Union | 71c | 172.94$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Philadelphia Union | 74c | 145.2$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Columbus Crew | 34c | 110.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Philadelphia Union | 74c | 98.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Columbus Crew | 26c | 79.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Columbus Crew | 71c | 69.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Columbus Crew | 26c | 58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Philadelphia Union | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Columbus Crew | 38c | 40.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Philadelphia Union | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Philadelphia Union | 73c | 25.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Philadelphia Union | 55c | 21.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…0438backed Columbus Crew | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)this page
- Columbus Crew vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Columbus Crew vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Philadelphia Union won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.