Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x335fa54d3c5561625e107e1e0021aadec96d6e07051955f8aeac6d10d78eaa3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 18,060$9,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,029.79 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 52c | 13,112$6,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,262.82 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 11,242$5,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,421.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 52c | 8,959$4,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.19 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 4,507$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.51 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 52c | 2,832$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.52 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 50c | 1,873$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.5 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 48c | 1,057$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.21 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 729.6$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.31 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 48c | 672.08$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.6 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 48c | 416.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 49c | 124.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 104.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 63.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Under | 53c | 44.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 52c | 25.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 154.5this page
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Oakland Golden GrizzliesGreen Bay Phoenix won
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 153.5Under won
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-6.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-7.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.