Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x452ed4c68d14a782b8e317eb979d52dedb6fe90f1e46e337814add292088abc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 47c | 17,002$7,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,048.47 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 56c | 9,374$5,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,251.4 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 50c | 5,986$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.77 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 4,206$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 57c | 3,490$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.55 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 2,856$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.04 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 50c | 1,487$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.44 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 793$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 44c | 582.62$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.27 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 516.59$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.13 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 43c | 277.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.13 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 43c | 274.62$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 195.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 52c | 148$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 103.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.2wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 69.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 50c | 38.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 48c | 34.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 51c | 28.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 50c | 25.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 153.5this page
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Oakland Golden GrizzliesGreen Bay Phoenix won
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 154.5Under won
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-6.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-7.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.