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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bushido Wildcatsof Lavked, Bushido Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff34…694bbacked Bushido Wildcats61c1,383$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.21,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed Lavked37c955$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.2711643.1%50 W · 66 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Bushido Wildcats57c559.58$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24343764.3%281 W · 156 L+51.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bushido Wildcats58c499.9$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.742,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lavked41c460.02$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4664748.4%313 W · 334 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Lavked44c440$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.763,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Bushido Wildcats61c419.27$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.841,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Bushido Wildcats54c381.95$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.271,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Lavked22c325$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.081,12142.5%476 W · 645 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Lavked42c323.59$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.920436.8%75 W · 129 L-15.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Lavked47c286.07$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.362,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Lavked60c271.65$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.840839.2%160 W · 248 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Lavked29c254.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4411538.3%44 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Bushido Wildcats47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.28560%51 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Bushido Wildcats79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4243175.9%327 W · 104 L+24.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats55c194.58$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.155,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Lavked46c187$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.332,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lavked49c159$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.911,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Bushido Wildcats54c148.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8381744.7%365 W · 452 L-2.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Bushido Wildcats53c120.43$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4243457.1%248 W · 186 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3b…2921backed Bushido Wildcats53c118.19$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.972065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Lavked63c118.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4128637.4%107 W · 179 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Bushido Wildcats57c97.7$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.382,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lavked45c94.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.91,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Bushido Wildcats33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9123526.4%62 W · 173 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Bushido Wildcats58c86.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed Lavked45c72.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.819136.3%33 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Bushido Wildcats42c62.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3577346.1%356 W · 417 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Bushido Wildcats46c57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.825,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Bushido Wildcats74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1323847.9%114 W · 124 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Lavked42c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161,14254.4%621 W · 521 L-4.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked53c43.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.534,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Lavked44c40.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8739245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Bushido Wildcats69c39.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.417068.2%116 W · 54 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Bushido Wildcats61c38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.762,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Lavked41c36.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9338421.9%84 W · 300 L-44.9wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bushido Wildcats49c34.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.923,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Lavked64c34.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0522552.9%119 W · 106 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats47c31.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.835,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Bushido Wildcats56c25.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.211956.3%67 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Lavked58c22.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.092,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.