CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs PRIME (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x337205f6bb0f3e8fffa40817f6f66fe41c8b05061808fb71a32da2c263c76956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WHITEBIRDof WHITEBIRD, PRIME
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed PRIME | 32c | 4,693$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.36 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed WHITEBIRD | 66c | 1,469$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.58 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WHITEBIRD | 67c | 1,395$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked PRIME | 31c | 646.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.32 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked PRIME | 29c | 554.13$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed PRIME | 31c | 524.79$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed PRIME | 13c | 504.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked WHITEBIRD | 77c | 342.31$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked WHITEBIRD | 65c | 341.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed WHITEBIRD | 65c | 326$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked WHITEBIRD | 65c | 227.69$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked WHITEBIRD | 67c | 214.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed PRIME | 24c | 189.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed PRIME | 19c | 168.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked WHITEBIRD | 80c | 127.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…6e03backed WHITEBIRD | 69c | 114$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked WHITEBIRD | 66c | 113.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed PRIME | 17c | 112.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked WHITEBIRD | 73c | 105.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…7941backed WHITEBIRD | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked PRIME | 17c | 99.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed WHITEBIRD | 77c | 93.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed PRIME | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…2c54backed WHITEBIRD | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked WHITEBIRD | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed PRIME | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…6e74backed PRIME | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WHITEBIRD | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…85bbbacked WHITEBIRD | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked WHITEBIRD | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055d…8686backed WHITEBIRD | 77c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…8a5ebacked WHITEBIRD | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…3d75backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…57c6backed WHITEBIRD | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fed…23e5backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…7d0bbacked WHITEBIRD | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…822ebacked WHITEBIRD | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…528dbacked WHITEBIRD | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…0454backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…2f4ebacked WHITEBIRD | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…4833backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…6c89backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…e1dcbacked WHITEBIRD | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…f7f9backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…1503backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d41…6989backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70a…7107backed WHITEBIRD | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…e80ebacked WHITEBIRD | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…a9fcbacked WHITEBIRD | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c2…8977backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs PRIME (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs PRIME - Map 1 WinnerWHITEBIRD won
- Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs PRIME - Map 2 WinnerPRIME won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.