Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lakewood: Justin Roberts vs Nathan Cox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3375edb8720856639fd4169938e6e45ca11a006d1ca1985f484de672936150e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Justin Robertsof Justin Roberts, Nathan Cox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26c7…668abacked Justin Roberts | 55c | 479.31$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.93 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Nathan Cox | 25c | 308.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Nathan Cox | 33c | 297$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nathan Cox | 44c | 244.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Justin Roberts | 69c | 220.55$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed Justin Roberts | 53c | 208.12$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +61%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nathan Cox | 44c | 109.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nathan Cox | 39c | 90.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Justin Roberts | 67c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nathan Cox | 22c | 64.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Nathan Cox | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Justin Roberts | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Nathan Cox | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Justin Roberts | 66c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Nathan Cox | 42c | 24.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.