World Politics · resolved market
Will Conor McGregor be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3376277f95016b046ccc398942605382ebce0673ca2934c0732f61ace19ccd06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,363,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,363,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c7f…0f82backed Yes | 0c | 85,299$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3710…8cc4backed Yes | 0c | 84,459$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…fe19backed Yes | 0c | 75,800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfd…0edfbacked Yes | 0c | 73,143$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b1…882bbacked Yes | 0c | 59,439$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100d…f9c6backed Yes | 0c | 57,591$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…9106backed Yes | 0c | 57,559$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…3237backed Yes | 0c | 56,669$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…83a2backed Yes | 0c | 56,665$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…8bc2backed Yes | 0c | 55,745$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773a…a807backed Yes | 0c | 55,537$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…42dfbacked Yes | 0c | 53,012$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…750fbacked Yes | 0c | 53,009$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3074…0375backed Yes | 0c | 52,907$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a82…ed64backed Yes | 0c | 52,110$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…2a1ebacked Yes | 0c | 52,085$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…5538backed Yes | 0c | 51,195$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…2f5dbacked Yes | 0c | 51,183$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…489cbacked Yes | 0c | 51,172$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0d…823fbacked Yes | 0c | 51,170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…fa00backed Yes | 0c | 51,163$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf6…62b2backed Yes | 0c | 50,296$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…fbccbacked Yes | 0c | 50,294$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…d20abacked Yes | 0c | 50,254$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…0ffebacked Yes | 0c | 50,243$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…93d8backed Yes | 0c | 49,389$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c0…e4ddbacked Yes | 0c | 49,353$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…91d5backed Yes | 0c | 49,341$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f2b9backed Yes | 0c | 49,238$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cb…c451backed Yes | 0c | 48,514$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f6…d374backed Yes | 0c | 48,465$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…2bfdbacked Yes | 0c | 48,458$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…8ab9backed Yes | 0c | 48,456$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…c503backed Yes | 0c | 48,447$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…4290backed Yes | 0c | 48,439$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0f…9276backed Yes | 0c | 48,207$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9177…c1b5backed Yes | 0c | 47,566$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…f74dbacked Yes | 0c | 47,533$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac0…c7a8backed Yes | 0c | 47,532$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…9935backed Yes | 0c | 47,512$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaecd…8dfabacked Yes | 0c | 47,512$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…bb41backed Yes | 0c | 47,503$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466c…8366backed Yes | 0c | 47,501$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a6…cd44backed Yes | 0c | 46,632$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…f1d7backed Yes | 0c | 46,623$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d7…9d29backed Yes | 0c | 46,623$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d5…6191backed Yes | 0c | 46,622$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…c93ebacked Yes | 0c | 46,620$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183c…d8a7backed Yes | 0c | 46,613$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…6bb8backed Yes | 0c | 46,600$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5e…ad10backed Yes | 0c | 46,587$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ea…17e0backed Yes | 0c | 46,562$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecd…f4a7backed Yes | 0c | 46,186$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…4026backed Yes | 0c | 45,694$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…a65cbacked Yes | 0c | 45,646$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2536…e130backed Yes | 0c | 45,286$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…af23backed Yes | 0c | 44,879$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…7c03backed Yes | 0c | 44,820$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e7…7690backed Yes | 0c | 44,808$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…4cf1backed Yes | 0c | 44,788$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3408…f9dabacked Yes | 0c | 44,774$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b6…f2eebacked Yes | 0c | 44,773$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2d…bfa1backed Yes | 0c | 44,758$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…1017backed Yes | 0c | 44,279$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…91aabacked Yes | 0c | 43,889$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…7ea6backed Yes | 0c | 43,872$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7165…a0b0backed Yes | 0c | 43,871$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…6f3abacked Yes | 0c | 43,871$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8284…45eabacked Yes | 0c | 43,854$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8382…ec05backed Yes | 0c | 43,820$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4069…429fbacked Yes | 0c | 43,265$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…2c08backed Yes | 0c | 43,065$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…f942backed Yes | 0c | 42,958$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ede…3717backed Yes | 0c | 42,956$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e926backed Yes | 0c | 42,948$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…a448backed Yes | 0c | 42,865$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505b…b738backed Yes | 0c | 42,665$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…68fbbacked Yes | 0c | 42,665$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…08b0backed Yes | 0c | 42,071$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…8485backed Yes | 0c | 42,058$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…b7e5backed Yes | 0c | 42,058$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f7…c2a3backed Yes | 0c | 42,051$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…d7f7backed Yes | 0c | 41,990$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…3420backed Yes | 0c | 41,658$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f60…7eabbacked Yes | 0c | 41,154$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a02…3bebbacked Yes | 0c | 41,151$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6933…b5f0backed Yes | 0c | 41,145$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e6…f23ebacked Yes | 0c | 41,133$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…71cdbacked Yes | 0c | 41,133$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b4…af50backed Yes | 0c | 41,117$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…1c1cbacked Yes | 0c | 41,064$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…ee2ebacked Yes | 0c | 40,544$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…0616backed Yes | 0c | 40,544$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…97d8backed Yes | 0c | 40,232$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad38…3653backed Yes | 0c | 40,220$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…9959backed Yes | 0c | 40,217$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…a231backed Yes | 0c | 40,215$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec5…01febacked Yes | 0c | 40,211$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae9…a0a0backed Yes | 0c | 40,207$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…ff47backed Yes | 0c | 40,037$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Conor McGregor be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?this page
- Will Helen McEntee be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Holly Cairns be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Jack Chambers be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Jim O'Callaghan be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Mary Lou McDonald be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes won
- Will Pearse Doherty be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Roderic O'Gorman be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.