World Politics · resolved market
Will Jim O'Callaghan be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75a2069d3e28f00038593fe783c22ffa703a24da723e04cd10228fe37cff83f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,264,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,264,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fd8…af91backed Yes | 0c | 27,914$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…ef8cbacked Yes | 0c | 25,176$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ed…d355backed Yes | 0c | 21,580$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3b…0d68backed Yes | 0c | 21,580$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f6…5faabacked Yes | 0c | 21,580$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f07…834dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,781$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe607…df65backed Yes | 0c | 19,781$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…76eabacked Yes | 0c | 19,781$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…a990backed Yes | 0c | 17,983$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…7adabacked Yes | 0c | 17,983$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x909b…6246backed Yes | 0c | 16,185$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…57f8backed Yes | 0c | 16,185$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…7a2bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,185$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038a…03f2backed Yes | 0c | 16,185$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f8…2692backed Yes | 0c | 16,185$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…9a27backed Yes | 0c | 16,185$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…738bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,185$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…2dd9backed Yes | 0c | 16,185$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…41f7backed Yes | 0c | 16,185$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb1…78e6backed Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…bb6bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…5c0fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…0e2fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121b…9d7dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…8b82backed Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706b…a194backed Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb887…2879backed Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…2a64backed Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ae…327bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…d20abacked Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…7f69backed Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7375…d56ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1e…cf8fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36af…e14ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9441…a628backed Yes | 0c | 14,386$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…147abacked Yes | 0c | 12,588$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…41edbacked Yes | 0c | 12,588$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…2b7cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,588$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfd…8870backed Yes | 0c | 12,588$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…08bcbacked Yes | 0c | 12,588$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…839cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,588$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c2…a1c5backed Yes | 0c | 12,588$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43a…0891backed Yes | 0c | 12,588$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d32…43a5backed Yes | 0c | 12,588$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc7…cbafbacked Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…2671backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ecf…db25backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…3b09backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…9a98backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…ef93backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…b90ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…bd54backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3261…e415backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…4afebacked Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…bbb2backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…d0d3backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…7a3dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…d8dcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720d…5b49backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1faf…8df8backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…3485backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…54ccbacked Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…ad31backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…c544backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…1505backed Yes | 0c | 10,790$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…04e0backed Yes | 0c | 8,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…829bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…7c39backed Yes | 0c | 8,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…683dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb660…021fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…2bb7backed Yes | 0c | 8,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…9867backed Yes | 0c | 8,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…2550backed Yes | 0c | 8,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…f451backed Yes | 0c | 8,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d4…098bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…8306backed Yes | 0c | 8,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…6cbdbacked Yes | 0c | 8,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…ccc4backed Yes | 0c | 7,193$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194d…8a8dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,193$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…afb7backed Yes | 0c | 7,193$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa480…1a1ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,193$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9871…1b77backed Yes | 0c | 7,193$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…ebc2backed Yes | 0c | 7,193$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebe…0202backed Yes | 0c | 7,193$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…63cabacked Yes | 0c | 7,193$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…e455backed Yes | 0c | 7,193$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23a3…ad26backed Yes | 0c | 5,395$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0116backed Yes | 0c | 5,395$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…a421backed Yes | 0c | 5,395$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…efccbacked Yes | 0c | 5,395$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ff…7ff4backed Yes | 0c | 5,395$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…a629backed Yes | 0c | 5,395$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e9…098fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,395$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d19…68dfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,395$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…2734backed Yes | 2c | 4,790$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 4,535$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 2,417$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397f…54e9backed Yes | 0c | 2,356$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jim O'Callaghan be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?this page
- Will Conor McGregor be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Helen McEntee be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Holly Cairns be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Jack Chambers be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Mary Lou McDonald be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes won
- Will Pearse Doherty be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Roderic O'Gorman be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
- Will Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.