CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3381b81496cb180e3341e815e8a4f9ef01e72fb539b346ec34aba14e6a9b3d27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galorysof ShindeN, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2418…66c8backed ShindeN | 45c | 400.08$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.94 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Galorys | 44c | 390$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galorys | 66c | 374.78$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked ShindeN | 34c | 291.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…d50abacked ShindeN | 56c | 240$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Galorys | 48c | 236.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed ShindeN | 33c | 212.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Galorys | 54c | 201$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Galorys | 68c | 187.28$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Galorys | 57c | 187.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ShindeN | 58c | 180$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed ShindeN | 56c | 124.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed ShindeN | 13c | 116.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Galorys | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked ShindeN | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Galorys | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ShindeN | 47c | 74.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Galorys | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Galorys | 42c | 68.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Galorys | 47c | 54.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed ShindeN | 57c | 51.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed ShindeN | 58c | 45.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Galorys | 42c | 44.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Galorys | 45c | 44.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed ShindeN | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb60f…17a6backed ShindeN | 47c | 35.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed ShindeN | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked ShindeN | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Galorys | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ShindeN | 57c | 18.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebe…3835backed ShindeN | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -58%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Galorys | 68c | 16.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.