CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3391deea29c643fe3fa8247e4c804914cf7aba528db9c8b1d42b7e8d0378755d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof B8, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed B8 | 41c | 2,693$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.13 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed B8 | 41c | 678.05$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed B8 | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed B8 | 35c | 479.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.08 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed B8 | 41c | 477$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed B8 | 41c | 476.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed B8 | 41c | 422.71$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.31 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 257.43$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed B8 | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 171.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed B8 | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked B8 | 41c | 119.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed B8 | 41c | 109.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 106.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked B8 | 41c | 93.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…e1b9backed B8 | 41c | 82.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…cad6backed B8 | 41c | 66.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7461…5cc5backed B8 | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed B8 | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…2447backed B8 | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…f79bbacked B8 | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed B8 | 41c | 40.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed B8 | 41c | 36.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 35.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 16.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group StageTeam Nemesis won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.