Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-01-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33ebf40d0afe365ac17cff158471a89a7332c4988e7f4637f067ccf0d81e2b42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 13c | 4,674$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.62 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 3,362$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.23 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,272$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 2,067$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.05 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 1,585$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.94 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 13c | 1,259$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 12c | 840.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 823.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 14c | 799.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…2c49backed Yes | 16c | 590$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 16c | 551.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 16c | 464.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 16c | 366$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 260.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e2…1c70backed Yes | 11c | 183.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 14c | 177.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 17c | 157.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 16c | 156.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 13c | 141$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…724bbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 16c | 124.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 104.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 13c | 87.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-01-23?this page
- Will Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.