Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4864baa7c461e8d84593d1288a6062fd6d963613e02d9f778f660c8cdebefad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 9c | 10,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 3,373$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.59 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 3,031$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yes | 35c | 2,861$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 54c | 2,055$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.71 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 66c | 766$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.44 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 628.99$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…e251backed Yes | 16c | 623.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 64c | 609.38$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 482.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 416.62$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 22c | 367.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 22c | 366$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 56c | 212.17$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…2151backed Yes | 48c | 204.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 158.3$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 137.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 36c | 126.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 12c | 123.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 18c | 111.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 57c | 104$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…8d08backed Yes | 32c | 100.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed No | 78c | 88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2834…c196backed No | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 32c | 82.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 70.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…7a1cbacked Yes | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 77c | 69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 21c | 67.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…e3e0backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 29c | 44.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 42.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed No | 67c | 29.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked No | 72c | 19.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed No | 67c | 15.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-01-23?No won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.