Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3424722eb552054f8277b60dd881b4e6b19a1b93e83a6d62cdd95434721f1582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked Over | 46c | 2,170$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.34 | 281 | 66.5%187 W · 94 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 54c | 2,002$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.17 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 35c | 485.6$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 71c | 443.49$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.54 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 53c | 187.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…2ec9backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 46c | 161.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 143.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 44c | 89.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 54c | 66.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 53c | 64.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Over | 45c | 58.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 53c | 58.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 54c | 55.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed Over | 65c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 46c | 32.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 53c | 31.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Over | 67c | 29.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 54c | 29.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3682…07d6backed Over | 61c | 24.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…4367backed Over | 46c | 23.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…b4a2backed Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 54c | 20.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Fnatic won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Vitality won
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)Fnatic won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerFnatic won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.