CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Gentle Mates (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3463066793b5d04de794c92fa2931fa837fe3031e7f3abeb186fb9f7894375e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Legacy, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Legacy | 53c | 3,882$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.45 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 3,696$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.65 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Gentle Mates | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 2,000$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.61 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Legacy | 54c | 1,951$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.28 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Legacy | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 1,582$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.14 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Legacy | 54c | 1,550$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.31 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 1,475$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.25 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Gentle Mates | 31c | 1,026$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Legacy | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Legacy | 69c | 989.86$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Legacy | 54c | 804.8$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.97 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Legacy | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 599.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 546.46$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.35 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Legacy | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Legacy | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Legacy | 32c | 433$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.56 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Gentle Mates | 68c | 427$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Legacy | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Legacy | 52c | 347.16$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Legacy | 43c | 274.84$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 183.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 181.42$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Legacy | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Legacy | 58c | 173.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Legacy | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Gentle Mates | 42c | 172.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Legacy | 54c | 141.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Legacy | 56c | 127.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…6a20backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 105.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 104.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Legacy | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Legacy | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 378 | 51.9%196 W · 182 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Legacy | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Legacy | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 52.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Legacy | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…c11dbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…22dabacked Legacy | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc42…2a78backed Legacy | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Legacy | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.