TailMyPicks
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Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,462 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x509d…0a6bbacked Under59c1,529$908 inWon+$620.6367056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Over41c1,434$584 inLost-$584.281,25849.9%628 W · 630 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Over41c500$205 inLost-$20514547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under78c270.8$212 inWon+$58.571,19465.9%787 W · 407 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Over50c223.43$111 inLost-$110.8475942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Under58c210.68$122 inWon+$88.4915149.7%75 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Under65c198.89$129 inWon+$69.611,50948.5%732 W · 777 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05bc…eabbbacked Over52c158.28$82 inLost-$8214139%55 W · 86 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Over35c149.99$52 inLost-$52.54924.5%12 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Over20c134.13$27 inLost-$26.8335054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over33c129.41$42 inLost-$42.217542.3%74 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c128.04$64 inWon+$64.022,35939.2%925 W · 1,434 L-89.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over31c120.8$38 inLost-$37.81,15030.9%355 W · 795 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under58c97.48$57 inWon+$40.9427248.9%133 W · 139 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7259…e70fbacked Over40c60.25$24 inLost-$24.13933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Under65c58.9$38 inWon+$20.7839859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb09a…7fc7backed Over35c50$18 inLost-$17.540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over35c48.82$17 inLost-$17.0923831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under57c46.51$27 inWon+$2050848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under50c44.41$22 inWon+$22.0541941.3%173 W · 246 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over41c37.63$16 inLost-$15.6136844.6%164 W · 204 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under48c31.57$15 inWon+$16.5547452.1%247 W · 227 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Under61c29.31$18 inWon+$11.4333042.4%140 W · 190 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Under59c21.03$12 inWon+$8.626063.3%38 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d4…2059backed Under61c19.21$12 inWon+$7.492045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac1…fe20backed Under72c14.75$11 inWon+$4.133174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.