Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34bc46c2a4c5af4432589db400aee90ed18acf2731632a75ce16058a1c5cac30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 867.3$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.8 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 827.76$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 70c | 713.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 70c | 713.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.19 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 69c | 543.96$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.12 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 68c | 419.88$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 70c | 356.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 19c | 296.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 32c | 262.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 68c | 211.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 70c | 105.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 69c | 93.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked Under | 68c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5this page
- Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.