TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Over52c55,479$28,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,700450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under46c5,100$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7541338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c4,728$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.731,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c5…5dccbacked Under49c4,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under48c3,200$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6646347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under48c3,200$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6563250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under48c3,162$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.9616644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under53c3,072$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.551952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under48c2,400$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2484548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c2,328$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Under49c2,326$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c2,272$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.824349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over55c2,182$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c2,067$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.531,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under45c1,657$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.353053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under48c1,400$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7285151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6123737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6245151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Under49c1,036$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over54c1,028$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.9510145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52052550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under48c890.6$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.21050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c883.62$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.8530448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c772$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.8827748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under65c759.24$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2133145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under48c736$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.723948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under48c729.11$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.068150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3646654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under48c650$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3386051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under48c639.99$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.24847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under48c631.76$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.511060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3126357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under48c600$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.65352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3065251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3124854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under48c567.89$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9622745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under48c531$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2327049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under48c531$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2333148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under48c480$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.64447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under48c480$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.64753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under48c480$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.44650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2084951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2084548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under69c323.36$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3726046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under48c322.84$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under48c320$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.45251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over30c299.83$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.834427.3%12 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c289$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0626354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under48c280$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.65552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under48c280$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.64953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c219$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.889553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over52c218.01$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4523342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9022340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over44c181.13$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8659348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c175.27$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.426041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.24553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under65c152.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.77966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under48c105$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.63036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under49c104.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526330.2%19 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over47c94.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.482157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c92.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3246450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.64252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over41c79.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4114352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under47c77.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.334951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Under46c77.57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.892259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.57648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Under50c66.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under46c60.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8616448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under50c60.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.192152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305151%26 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.29954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under55c53.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over35c52.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Over54c51.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under49c50.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.564440.9%18 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over54c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.385354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under45c40.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0610248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over55c37.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.529657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under50c37.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.485955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over51c35.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c30.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.244955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.38957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under54c23.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.882240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8de…a2b8backed Over55c21.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed Under50c20.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+102.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.811044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.