Middle East · resolved market
Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34e08e9b186aa06250c41af501e7e86495d3281011d26d6991a815f938183cf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5254…891bbacked Yes | 70c | 999.26$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.78 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 839.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…805abacked No | 28c | 723.3$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 29c | 642$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 31c | 464.76$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…1a95backed No | 33c | 302.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 31c | 289$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…217abacked No | 9c | 185$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed No | 16c | 176.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed No | 24c | 175$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 146 | 9.6%14 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…4b60backed Yes | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…cc3cbacked Yes | 50c | 100.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 21c | 84.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…dcbbbacked Yes | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 55c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a8…d981backed No | 28c | 50.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 46.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…b46dbacked No | 50c | 40.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d0…bc0abacked No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…fa87backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x158a…47a7backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 75c | 34.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…b2b8backed Yes | 71c | 21.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…3b59backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cb…152dbacked Yes | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?this page
- Will Donald Trump attend the G7 Summit?Yes won
- Will JD Vance attend the G7 Summit?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.