Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34f3698af9f8d68dae9a366561151bdc2ee92ec39bab0541ef2484cf79a98343
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fresno State Bulldogsof Colorado State Rams, Fresno State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,636 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Colorado State Rams | 48c | 9,500$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 52c | 3,025$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 2,530$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.09 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado State Rams | 47c | 728$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado State Rams | 50c | 360.1$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 50c | 329$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 299.25$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 50c | 256.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 253.23$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Colorado State Rams | 53c | 199.83$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Colorado State Rams | 50c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 135.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 134.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 50c | 118.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 52c | 95.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Colorado State Rams | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 52c | 71.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Colorado State Rams | 50c | 60.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 37.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 37.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 37.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 37.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 52c | 30.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 28.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 51c | 25.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-7.5)this page
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State RamsColorado State Rams won
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 144.5Under won
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-6.5)Fresno State Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.