MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35216c0204216865ba39918cc5e2352619d24017ba89e6a9c058f93f15078c1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed KT Wiz | 47c | 553.19$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.19 | 281 | 56.9%160 W · 121 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed LG Twins | 53c | 513.51$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.16 | 801 | 47.7%382 W · 419 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KT Wiz | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked KT Wiz | 46c | 468.67$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.26 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed LG Twins | 54c | 437.87$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.79 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LG Twins | 39c | 345.43$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 68c | 300.62$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 46c | 295.92$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.21 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked LG Twins | 55c | 271.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 66c | 257.34$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed KT Wiz | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,224 | 54%661 W · 563 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LG Twins | 30c | 247.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 759 | 44.4%337 W · 422 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed LG Twins | 42c | 229.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked LG Twins | 23c | 218.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed KT Wiz | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked LG Twins | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked LG Twins | 54c | 136.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 471 | 48.6%229 W · 242 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…4486backed KT Wiz | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked KT Wiz | 47c | 100.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LG Twins | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed KT Wiz | 45c | 80.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked LG Twins | 27c | 76.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed LG Twins | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed LG Twins | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1,822 | 49.2%897 W · 925 L | -25.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed KT Wiz | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,107 | 79.6%881 W · 226 L | +32.3wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 56c | 30.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed LG Twins | 53c | 29.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed LG Twins | 53c | 28.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 3,018 | 48%1,448 W · 1,570 L | +14.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…68f9backed KT Wiz | 53c | 28.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…5d02backed KT Wiz | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked LG Twins | 56c | 23.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 705 | 55%388 W · 317 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KT Wiz | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 961 | 55.2%530 W · 431 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed LG Twins | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…86b1backed KT Wiz | 80c | 21.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.