Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3532b26ccbaf7ea641375bc6b4c5e9afa53c161f0e603c19c1011beed0423e73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Over | 56c | 9,690$5,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.21 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 45c | 2,664$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.2 | 779 | 49.9%389 W · 390 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Under | 44c | 1,886$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.78 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 45c | 1,679$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.52 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 45c | 1,020$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.89 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Under | 43c | 603.51$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 55c | 575.24$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.12 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 43c | 474.58$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.58 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 56c | 447.83$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.78 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 44c | 320.22$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.32 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Under | 45c | 283.87$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Under | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 43c | 216.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Under | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Under | 43c | 136.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…4079backed Under | 45c | 133.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 40c | 113.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under | 44c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 45.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 35.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 53c | 33.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…d463backed Under | 45c | 33.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 60c | 32.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.