Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73815597476ae81d0e2eb636ce856a8c858f7f71dfaa92d59608d78ee4aa00b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Over | 44c | 9,138$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.41 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 56c | 2,689$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9036backed Under | 57c | 2,600$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 53c | 1,918$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.69 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Under | 46c | 1,390$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.42 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Under | 57c | 1,378$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.46 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…5c01backed Under | 47c | 1,005$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 54c | 920.97$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.33 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 43c | 595.02$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.77 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 55c | 594.69$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 57c | 550$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 53c | 363.85$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.51 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Under | 57c | 305.26$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.26 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked Under | 47c | 274.64$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 58c | 260.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Under | 57c | 208.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Under | 55c | 175.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 44c | 149$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Over | 14c | 107.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…0c09backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 59c | 85.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 48c | 79.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 45.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 50c | 45.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…6c5ebacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Under | 55c | 23.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.