Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eb256bb05dfd94770a49c121fff15e32165dc8c811ee69a526e1c205f63975e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof JD Gaming, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 25,000$14,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,874.98 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed JD Gaming | 44c | 13,831$6,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,074.42 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed JD Gaming | 43c | 11,057$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,754.58 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 9,053$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.26 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed JD Gaming | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed JD Gaming | 43c | 4,036$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.29 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 62c | 3,966$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.54 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked JD Gaming | 42c | 2,104$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.57 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.38 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 1,655$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.1 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked JD Gaming | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed JD Gaming | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed JD Gaming | 43c | 936.37$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.74 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked JD Gaming | 37c | 901.9$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.7 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…c3e0backed JD Gaming | 19c | 638.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed JD Gaming | 31c | 495.6$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed JD Gaming | 42c | 333.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.05 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 79c | 316.7$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…5d16backed JD Gaming | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 247.19$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 241.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked JD Gaming | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked JD Gaming | 43c | 185.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8e…8212backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 174$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 172.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed JD Gaming | 43c | 170.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 160.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 62c | 160.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed JD Gaming | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…2302backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +83%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked JD Gaming | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed JD Gaming | 39c | 140$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…abb5backed JD Gaming | 38c | 105.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked JD Gaming | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 82.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed JD Gaming | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked JD Gaming | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 70c | 40.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 267 | 54.7%146 W · 121 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…45ecbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 78c | 33.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 209 | 67%140 W · 69 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked JD Gaming | 35c | 32.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked JD Gaming | 40c | 30.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 30.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 148 | 31.1%46 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked JD Gaming | 40c | 24.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 20.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 79c | 19.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 55c | 18.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.