La Liga · resolved market
Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35474b557ce4596eaf26f6a2a5c83ad25b004367443eec451788936da278ee08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 5,629$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.61 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 48c | 5,110$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 6c | 3,440$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.39 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 2,605$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.38 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 44c | 607.91$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 17c | 591.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 19c | 531.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Over | 5c | 516.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 476.67$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 72c | 449.77$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 8c | 426$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 50c | 416$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 39c | 365$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 5c | 232.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 49c | 206$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 40c | 174.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 49c | 172.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 17c | 147.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over | 52c | 96.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Over | 36c | 86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 48c | 47.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 76c | 42.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 50c | 40.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e02…3667backed Under | 77c | 36.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 61c | 32.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 66c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 64c | 16.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5this page
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Getafe CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.