La Liga · resolved market
Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e72ce692c870c92c3243f85aa4ff3bcce9e38a29ebe1a7681e7114c0bab67d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 15c | 5,381$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.05 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 2,817$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.32 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 906.84$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.69 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Over | 14c | 853.21$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.76 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Under | 65c | 707.56$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.78 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Over | 14c | 407.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…5645backed Under | 65c | 303.24$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 74c | 302.35$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.74 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 26c | 206.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 51c | 164.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…c757backed Under | 67c | 156.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 15c | 120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 49c | 110.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 14c | 99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 78.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 71.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 51c | 57.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 58c | 51.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 42.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 75c | 38.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…a471backed Under | 70c | 28.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 74c | 24.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 55c | 23.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 67c | 22.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 76c | 19.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e72…117abacked Under | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5this page
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Getafe CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.