La Liga · resolved market
Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eed53cd89b6329da6a9185be0a956bf7d1eb3575ff2b9dade220999cf6205a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 74c | 3,999$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.77 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 18c | 3,555$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.59 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 1,540$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.14 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 825.99$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.51 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 40c | 530$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 44c | 505.07$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.49 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 77c | 502.3$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.93 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 41c | 388.49$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.28 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 371.78$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 45c | 317.74$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 55c | 210$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 59c | 192.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…78e2backed Under | 42c | 181.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 60c | 136$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 42c | 116.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 60c | 100.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Under | 46c | 91.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 89.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 18c | 81.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 61c | 64.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…ffdebacked Under | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 60c | 47.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 27.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a180backed Over | 60c | 25.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 59c | 21.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5859…2860backed Over | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 78c | 15.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5this page
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Getafe CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.