TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs 300FPS - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FORZE Reloadof FORZE Reload, 300FPS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb209…b744backed 300FPS9c7,241$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.8429440.5%119 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8f…b9b2backed 300FPS10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6214…c4a0backed 300FPS10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee6…a1efbacked 300FPS10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd081…306bbacked FORZE Reload39c3,937$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.251464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc336…1296backed 300FPS12c3,606$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3936…6e40backed 300FPS20c3,290$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501926.3%5 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+317.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4848…71b9backed 300FPS10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e7…5124backed 300FPS10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfedf…60f1backed 300FPS10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…b168backed 300FPS10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x693a…1417backed 300FPS10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c4b…9232backed 300FPS10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 300FPS13c2,949$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.673,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb78…f224backed 300FPS10c2,930$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ffe…ffe4backed 300FPS11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc9…3432backed 300FPS10c2,250$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde1e…7ac6backed 300FPS15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30080%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7528…6539backed 300FPS15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30080%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd494…bfafbacked 300FPS15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…0c87backed 300FPS15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad2…ec06backed 300FPS15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30070%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8df…a2c7backed 300FPS10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b00…8cf8backed 300FPS15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6b…50e7backed 300FPS15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc84f…bb5bbacked 300FPS21c1,703$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed 300FPS14c1,599$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7919468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 300FPS21c1,587$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.552,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc512…405dbacked 300FPS65c1,495$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed 300FPS63c1,424$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.6923356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5d7…488cbacked 300FPS15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked 300FPS13c1,210$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.551,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked 300FPS38c1,179$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.4622658%131 W · 95 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8f…fed8backed FORZE Reload43c1,122$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed 300FPS48c1,076$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.7841450.7%210 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f1c…6383backed 300FPS46c1,050$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4833354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 300FPS12c936$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.042,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed 300FPS11c909.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked 300FPS39c850.46$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.0281744.7%365 W · 452 L-2.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed 300FPS31c810$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.940247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9204…93a1backed FORZE Reload48c781.41$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked 300FPS20c685.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404141.5%17 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed 300FPS23c679.87$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.81,12142.5%476 W · 645 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 300FPS31c593.03$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.094,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked 300FPS18c560.31$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.331,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed 300FPS25c550$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54e…4a99backed 300FPS60c531.48$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.435064%32 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed FORZE Reload37c499.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9922452.2%117 W · 107 L+20.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed 300FPS51c497.4$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.722546.2%104 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…afccbacked 300FPS65c496.17$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0c…5ad0backed 300FPS6c487.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2910643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa233…41f9backed 300FPS12c485.38$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78dd…3235backed 300FPS11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e2…5405backed 300FPS33c437$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.32352.2%12 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+59.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked 300FPS14c430$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.26749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ee…a0bbbacked FORZE Reload48c424.95$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.55062%31 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed 300FPS50c406.2$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.121360.1%128 W · 85 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed 300FPS15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603948.7%19 W · 20 L+7.3wins+0.19per pick30cpaid+67.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 300FPS19c383.13$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.82,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x984f…9a43backed 300FPS55c381$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.548970.8%63 W · 26 L+19.3wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed 300FPS57c380$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.833050%165 W · 165 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed 300FPS17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8045…9116backed 300FPS60c282.69$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.383852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0917…48aebacked FORZE Reload34c282.15$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.22944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe200…1b78backed 300FPS15c265$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked 300FPS48c246.86$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.42,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6202…c297backed 300FPS11c240.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.584841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df3…1411backed 300FPS59c229.23$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.634751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0175…acb4backed 300FPS31c196.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked 300FPS31c178.92$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8111421.1%24 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 300FPS33c175.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.982,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked 300FPS16c175$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5823847.9%114 W · 124 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5657…42a6backed FORZE Reload47c169.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.968048.8%39 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd365…c28cbacked FORZE Reload49c149.8$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.81540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed 300FPS29c144$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.476749.3%33 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f98…cb91backed 300FPS34c125$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.627042.9%30 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked FORZE Reload55c123.17$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.862,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x604e…2cb1backed 300FPS31c119.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.24822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked FORZE Reload37c108.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.518947.2%42 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked 300FPS58c103.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011560.9%70 W · 45 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed 300FPS55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5531043.9%136 W · 174 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FORZE Reload47c99.79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.797,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed 300FPS25c92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.883450%17 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x824a…3952backed 300FPS65c81.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7214639.7%58 W · 88 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed FORZE Reload46c81.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7513056.2%73 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked 300FPS29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked 300FPS20c62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.171,14254.4%621 W · 521 L-4.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb595…4b77backed FORZE Reload47c59.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.575846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed 300FPS26c56.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick20cpaid+59.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23df…3df7backed FORZE Reload50c48.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.33243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb0…6cebbacked FORZE Reload45c47.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…2ff5backed 300FPS25c44.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed 300FPS61c38.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3561855%340 W · 278 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed 300FPS58c36.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3161754%333 W · 284 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked 300FPS60c33.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8815457.1%88 W · 66 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed 300FPS42c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.448038.8%31 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed FORZE Reload50c25.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6116661.4%102 W · 64 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02e0…9633backed 300FPS61c24.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154161%25 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked 300FPS50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266248.6%322 W · 340 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.