CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs 300FPS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2765c1ef71d43994a97bed417604f82228778e7859eb45883fe03af7e093761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof FORZE Reload, 300FPS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked 300FPS | 21c | 1,110$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed 300FPS | 7c | 1,031$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 300FPS | 20c | 831.53$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…fed8backed 300FPS | 22c | 821$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed FORZE Reload | 75c | 703.99$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.54 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 300FPS | 17c | 609.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 300FPS | 17c | 504$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked FORZE Reload | 75c | 500$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 226 | 58%131 W · 95 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 300FPS | 21c | 458$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 300FPS | 18c | 310.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 300FPS | 15c | 296.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…a0bbbacked 300FPS | 20c | 227.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed FORZE Reload | 58c | 220$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed FORZE Reload | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed 300FPS | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +20.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed FORZE Reload | 71c | 167.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 300FPS | 18c | 115$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked FORZE Reload | 65c | 109.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ac87backed FORZE Reload | 63c | 103.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed FORZE Reload | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 300FPS | 18c | 85.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked 300FPS | 26c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…afccbacked 300FPS | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FORZE Reload | 79c | 39.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked FORZE Reload | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs 300FPS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs 300FPS (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 PlayoffsFORZE Reload won
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs 300FPS - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.