Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Aliona Bolsova vs Carol Young Suh Lee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35bd88d5da12f9a118589d4e97b2fffad5b1b1a54613190fb8f189ac923c4eba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeof Bolsova, Lee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bolsova | 14c | 1,267$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bolsova | 19c | 889.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.75 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bolsova | 3c | 748.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bolsova | 11c | 585.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lee | 79c | 346.33$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Bolsova | 21c | 334.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bolsova | 12c | 305.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bolsova | 5c | 226.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Bolsova | 13c | 156.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Lee | 74c | 155.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Bolsova | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Bolsova | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ea…cbc5backed Bolsova | 11c | 107.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bolsova | 11c | 104.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bolsova | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Bolsova | 30c | 99.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lee | 76c | 68.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bolsova | 20c | 64.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Bolsova | 28c | 52.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lee | 78c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lee | 71c | 42.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Lee | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lee | 71c | 39.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Lee | 70c | 38.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lee | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Lee | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.