CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35e3da0079ab2c233ea3c472ce08e6b193d2254aef640cbefe4a5ec7000debbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed RED Canids | 61c | 1,145$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.16 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed BESTIA | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BESTIA | 38c | 499.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked BESTIA | 38c | 347.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed RED Canids | 62c | 334.66$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.17 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…4a6dbacked BESTIA | 18c | 156$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed BESTIA | 41c | 130.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed BESTIA | 27c | 102.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…6b6abacked BESTIA | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked RED Canids | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 32c | 93.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RED Canids | 50c | 92.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…231cbacked BESTIA | 52c | 64.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed BESTIA | 17c | 63.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RED Canids | 49c | 60.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BESTIA | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked BESTIA | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed BESTIA | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3560backed RED Canids | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed RED Canids | 70c | 30.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed RED Canids | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.