NHL · resolved market
SHL: Djurgaarden vs. Skellefteaa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35e3e619e8a97191a3b2f00c26b07bfb1e6c5189d8c3eb94a157db7bf521bd6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skellefteaaof Djurgaarden, Skellefteaa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,553 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Skellefteaa | 65c | 868.98$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.14 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Djurgaarden | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Djurgaarden | 35c | 179.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…3206backed Djurgaarden | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Skellefteaa | 66c | 144.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Djurgaarden | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Djurgaarden | 35c | 118.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Djurgaarden | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Djurgaarden | 30c | 82.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Djurgaarden | 35c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Skellefteaa | 73c | 73.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Skellefteaa | 71c | 52.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Skellefteaa | 65c | 45.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Djurgaarden | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Djurgaarden | 35c | 29.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.