Lol · resolved market
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x367c6c477c26b07b6a4e8db18c431fb06c65f9299ea31ae0e73add83b7a520fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Gaming Academyof paiN Gaming Academy, 7REX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x540d…122bbacked 7REX | 56c | 7,034$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,967.31 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked paiN Gaming Academy | 46c | 4,215$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.17 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…5442backed paiN Gaming Academy | 61c | 2,812$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.73 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed paiN Gaming Academy | 39c | 2,154$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.44 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked 7REX | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed 7REX | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.98 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked paiN Gaming Academy | 64c | 1,043$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.49 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked 7REX | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked paiN Gaming Academy | 72c | 822.83$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.18 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed paiN Gaming Academy | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked 7REX | 31c | 758.43$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed paiN Gaming Academy | 60c | 756.54$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.94 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed 7REX | 31c | 756.48$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.78 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked 7REX | 51c | 730$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.15 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked paiN Gaming Academy | 61c | 653.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.09 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked paiN Gaming Academy | 52c | 558.93$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.83 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed 7REX | 41c | 536.78$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked paiN Gaming Academy | 49c | 498.41$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.17 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 7REX | 35c | 456$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…ceb9backed paiN Gaming Academy | 54c | 451.5$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.27 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 7REX | 51c | 415.29$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.69 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed 7REX | 24c | 380.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 7REX | 46c | 359.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fa…26d9backed 7REX | 53c | 327.77$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed 7REX | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked 7REX | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked 7REX | 63c | 268.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…af5bbacked 7REX | 30c | 266.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed 7REX | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed paiN Gaming Academy | 47c | 245.42$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…8c55backed paiN Gaming Academy | 43c | 234$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN Gaming Academy | 50c | 230$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked 7REX | 35c | 227.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed 7REX | 32c | 205.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked paiN Gaming Academy | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked 7REX | 57c | 196$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed paiN Gaming Academy | 51c | 170.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…0336backed paiN Gaming Academy | 68c | 154.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked 7REX | 35c | 138.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed paiN Gaming Academy | 67c | 138.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed 7REX | 51c | 134.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked paiN Gaming Academy | 75c | 133.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…5cefbacked paiN Gaming Academy | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked 7REX | 23c | 128.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed 7REX | 26c | 114.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked paiN Gaming Academy | 44c | 106.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed paiN Gaming Academy | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed 7REX | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 7REX | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 7REX | 40c | 85.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed paiN Gaming Academy | 61c | 82.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed paiN Gaming Academy | 45c | 81.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8807…c4d9backed paiN Gaming Academy | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…2bd9backed 7REX | 56c | 71.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked 7REX | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed 7REX | 32c | 68.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked paiN Gaming Academy | 74c | 67.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked 7REX | 27c | 66.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 225 | 45.8%103 W · 122 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed paiN Gaming Academy | 65c | 65.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked paiN Gaming Academy | 77c | 63.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed paiN Gaming Academy | 48c | 57.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked 7REX | 46c | 56.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed paiN Gaming Academy | 40c | 50.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e1…fe21backed paiN Gaming Academy | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…a35abacked paiN Gaming Academy | 58c | 42.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed 7REX | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked 7REX | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…30a9backed 7REX | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed 7REX | 58c | 35.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed paiN Gaming Academy | 72c | 34.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked paiN Gaming Academy | 48c | 34.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed paiN Gaming Academy | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 164 | 62.8%103 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…b968backed paiN Gaming Academy | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 134 | 70.9%95 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN Gaming Academy | 70c | 20.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…5865backed paiN Gaming Academy | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed paiN Gaming Academy | 65c | 19.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cc…1a74backed paiN Gaming Academy | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: 7REX (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming Academy (+1.5)paiN Gaming Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffspaiN Gaming Academy won
- LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX - Game 1 WinnerpaiN Gaming Academy won
- LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX - Game 3 WinnerpaiN Gaming Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.