CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a22b3b038572f1770fbc050149791ce1ebf9fd3a068f6c4d83830855a98da9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof FOKUS, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 36c | 2,111$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.03 | 372 | 54%201 W · 171 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 1,467$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.41 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked FOKUS | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 388 | 47.7%185 W · 203 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FOKUS | 64c | 623.13$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.39 | 1,161 | 42.2%490 W · 671 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS | 69c | 621.06$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.03 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked FOKUS | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 1,177 | 48.2%567 W · 610 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked FOKUS | 64c | 597.94$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.95 | 402 | 54%217 W · 185 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…1ad4backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 61c | 594.5$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.37 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FOKUS | 63c | 530.1$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.68 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 522.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.23 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 502.25$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.12 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed FOKUS | 37c | 380$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 575 | 37.9%218 W · 357 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e3…f30abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 64c | 326.55$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FOKUS | 25c | 317.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed FOKUS | 64c | 280.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.59 | 611 | 42.7%261 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 236$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7af…f22ebacked FOKUS | 72c | 214.3$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…abf5backed FOKUS | 61c | 119.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 46c | 102.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 98.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…123dbacked FOKUS | 64c | 98.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 96.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed FOKUS | 61c | 85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 509 | 42.8%218 W · 291 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOKUS | 65c | 83.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 80.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FOKUS | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,450 | 52.9%767 W · 683 L | +34.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed FOKUS | 64c | 64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 544 | 48.2%262 W · 282 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked FOKUS | 50c | 59.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 1,212 | 54.4%659 W · 553 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked FOKUS | 59c | 57.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2,422 | 46.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L | -56.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed FOKUS | 64c | 37.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 549 | 49.4%271 W · 278 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed FOKUS | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked FOKUS | 43c | 30.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 604 | 3%18 W · 586 L | -224.1wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked FOKUS | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 424 | 55.2%234 W · 190 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked FOKUS | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffsex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.