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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-Zero Tenacityof FOKUS, ex-Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,857 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity53c3,487$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.7837254%201 W · 171 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked FOKUS47c1,063$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017558.9%103 W · 72 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ex-Zero Tenacity33c1,038$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.351,68053.2%893 W · 787 L+65.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed ex-Zero Tenacity54c999$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.542,53643.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked ex-Zero Tenacity35c839.86$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.8553336.2%193 W · 340 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity35c777.72$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.775,91137.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L+74.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed FOKUS44c751.98$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.830437.8%115 W · 189 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked FOKUS65c721.56$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.838847.7%185 W · 203 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity43c665.2$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.173,62429.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L-291.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed FOKUS46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,33544%588 W · 747 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b6b…acabbacked ex-Zero Tenacity57c515.45$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.74456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FOKUS45c493.29$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.818,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed FOKUS51c485.43$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2346665.5%305 W · 161 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked FOKUS48c478.77$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6178634%267 W · 519 L-49.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed FOKUS68c432.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.186547.7%31 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed ex-Zero Tenacity35c426.94$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.512227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS53c415.81$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.593,31945.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L-87.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed ex-Zero Tenacity52c386$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.354448.2%262 W · 282 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked FOKUS66c353$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3350942%214 W · 295 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed FOKUS43c319$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5145944.2%203 W · 256 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed FOKUS65c306.14$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9911167.6%75 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed FOKUS66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,20554.5%657 W · 548 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…ed5fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity67c290.96$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS40c290.56$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.955,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked FOKUS61c247.94$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.641,17748.2%567 W · 610 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed FOKUS46c241.56$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.121,16142.2%490 W · 671 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed FOKUS65c206.78$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.416847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5151…d86cbacked FOKUS49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed ex-Zero Tenacity58c193.28$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.051,61329.6%478 W · 1,135 L-90.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed FOKUS52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041755.2%230 W · 187 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…f2eabacked ex-Zero Tenacity67c178.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.728060%48 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed ex-Zero Tenacity35c168.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.847258.3%42 W · 30 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d62…81b9backed ex-Zero Tenacity58c168.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe67f…c3f3backed FOKUS66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed FOKUS73c150$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.717542.9%75 W · 100 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed FOKUS50c148.26$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9421753%115 W · 102 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed FOKUS61c130.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.67837.2%29 W · 49 L-11.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed FOKUS46c128.02$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1476748.2%370 W · 397 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40c2…aef7backed FOKUS45c125$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.35543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed FOKUS59c124.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6112839.8%51 W · 77 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27e4…245bbacked FOKUS66c119$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.541040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity42c115.52$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1327746.6%129 W · 148 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…4b77backed FOKUS75c114.16$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked FOKUS64c108.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.61,45052.9%767 W · 683 L+34.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked FOKUS46c107$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2212143.8%53 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b8…abf5backed FOKUS50c106.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0760…80f8backed FOKUS66c104.64$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.061926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.4wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-47.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed FOKUS65c103.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2436549.9%182 W · 183 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed FOKUS48c102.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8250942.8%218 W · 291 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed FOKUS34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346835.3%24 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked FOKUS55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed FOKUS65c95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.753253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd365…c28cbacked FOKUS65c89.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked FOKUS66c85.6$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.19252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOKUS55c80.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.655,65147.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L+46.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ex-Zero Tenacity35c78.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.241,95047.8%932 W · 1,018 L-50.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FOKUS29c76.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.052,58534.6%894 W · 1,691 L-200.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x194e…2d46backed FOKUS49c73.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7140%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed FOKUS66c73.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3312952.7%68 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity62c69.28$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.264,81743.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L-90.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07df…9f0cbacked FOKUS65c69.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.784250%21 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed FOKUS66c68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0654269.2%375 W · 167 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce77…666ebacked FOKUS66c67.09$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity40c63.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.112,19247.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L-59.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed ex-Zero Tenacity66c60.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3920960.8%127 W · 82 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed FOKUS59c54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7612132.2%39 W · 82 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked FOKUS66c53.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.384153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe197…71ebbacked FOKUS49c52.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.821040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f3…40f4backed ex-Zero Tenacity56c51.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.662540%10 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8a2…123dbacked FOKUS35c51.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.672147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed FOKUS48c50.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3150641.5%210 W · 296 L+1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked ex-Zero Tenacity43c50.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4217252.3%90 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity35c47.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8715439.6%61 W · 93 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FOKUS46c44.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.614,13250.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L+72.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf066…3349backed ex-Zero Tenacity63c44.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36050%30 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked ex-Zero Tenacity36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.622857%130 W · 98 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed FOKUS59c36.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.596944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf16…bf3fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed FOKUS50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1845243.6%197 W · 255 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FOKUS49c34.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.142,41245.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L-62.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed ex-Zero Tenacity49c34.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.891131%282 W · 629 L-63.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb7a…b8bdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity63c31.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.568471.4%60 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked FOKUS38c30.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66043%18 W · 586 L-224.1wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.8%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x672c…881bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity52c30.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.461361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed ex-Zero Tenacity56c29.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0754949.4%271 W · 278 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked FOKUS46c27.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.876647%31 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed FOKUS72c27.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025342.7%108 W · 145 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed ex-Zero Tenacity42c26.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1817250%86 W · 86 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x127e…3dd8backed ex-Zero Tenacity61c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.242369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaff…524abacked FOKUS64c25.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf1…fbdabacked FOKUS66c20.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed ex-Zero Tenacity79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec34…9bb2backed FOKUS66c17.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe459…28e4backed ex-Zero Tenacity64c16.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.763470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f5…b608backed FOKUS66c15.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed ex-Zero Tenacity67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9514537.2%54 W · 91 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf5…a298backed ex-Zero Tenacity80c13.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.751984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+32.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.