Tennis · resolved market
Segovia: Paul Inchauspe vs Cyril Vandermeersch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36c2a3097e6773bce102e02674e8a5d93cad9fa4561bd800e130b27db3d54b09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paul Inchauspeof Paul Inchauspe, Cyril Vandermeersch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 5c | 5,731$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.89 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 8c | 2,370$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 4c | 1,075$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 9c | 887.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 20c | 666.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 33c | 655.24$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.23 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 5c | 620.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 6c | 517.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 33c | 516.39$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.57 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 35c | 444$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 8c | 287.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Paul Inchauspe | 72c | 278.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 5c | 215$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 15c | 197.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Paul Inchauspe | 65c | 147.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 28c | 140.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Paul Inchauspe | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 31c | 127.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 27c | 126.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Paul Inchauspe | 67c | 106.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Paul Inchauspe | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 97.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 32c | 90.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Paul Inchauspe | 71c | 82.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Paul Inchauspe | 67c | 69.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 31c | 68.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 24c | 45.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Paul Inchauspe | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…9f01backed Paul Inchauspe | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Paul Inchauspe | 66c | 32.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Paul Inchauspe | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Paul Inchauspe | 74c | 28.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Paul Inchauspe | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 26.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Paul Inchauspe | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…422ebacked Paul Inchauspe | 71c | 22.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Paul Inchauspe | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Paul Inchauspe | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Paul Inchauspe | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Paul Inchauspe | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Paul Inchauspe | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.