Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36d901efccc608009e732f9281167ae2875bdc4cc2101497d659b6ce10299b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svajdaof Cerundolo, Svajda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Svajda | 48c | 9,506$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,980.87 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Cerundolo | 53c | 5,922$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.61 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Cerundolo | 55c | 2,708$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Cerundolo | 1c | 2,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cerundolo | 54c | 2,634$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.82 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Cerundolo | 54c | 1,401$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.34 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Svajda | 46c | 1,302$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.16 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Svajda | 44c | 780$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cerundolo | 52c | 586.31$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.88 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Svajda | 46c | 507.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.31 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Cerundolo | 58c | 403$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.74 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Cerundolo | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cerundolo | 49c | 336.02$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.18 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Cerundolo | 55c | 331.93$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.56 | 212 | 57.5%122 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cerundolo | 53c | 322.91$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.31 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Cerundolo | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Cerundolo | 50c | 285.89$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Svajda | 48c | 271.85$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Svajda | 44c | 191.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Svajda | 43c | 188.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Cerundolo | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Svajda | 45c | 129.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Svajda | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Cerundolo | 55c | 110.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Svajda | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Svajda | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cerundolo | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cerundolo | 37c | 84.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…551abacked Cerundolo | 58c | 81.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Svajda | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Cerundolo | 53c | 53.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cerundolo | 31c | 52.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Cerundolo | 50c | 50.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Svajda | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Cerundolo | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Cerundolo | 57c | 32.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…e004backed Svajda | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Cerundolo | 47c | 30.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Svajda | 46c | 22.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…e7b8backed Cerundolo | 54c | 22.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Cerundolo | 55c | 22.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…20bbbacked Cerundolo | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Cerundolo | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Cerundolo | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)this page
- Cerundolo vs. Svajda: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Francisco Cerundolo vs. Zachary Svajda: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary SvajdaZachary Svajda won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs SvajdaSvajda won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)Svajda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.