Lol · resolved market
LoL: HMBLE vs 3BL Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x370c97692c82164fc4d82046861d121f68943dc771cfa732e027ed4e607480c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HMBLEof HMBLE, 3BL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,787 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed 3BL Esports | 38c | 4,898$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.25 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked HMBLE | 68c | 4,705$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.55 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed HMBLE | 59c | 3,005$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.4 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed 3BL Esports | 37c | 2,865$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.46 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed 3BL Esports | 51c | 1,713$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.05 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed HMBLE | 69c | 1,391$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.24 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 3BL Esports | 32c | 1,179$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.9 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 3BL Esports | 45c | 1,019$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.5 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed HMBLE | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 3BL Esports | 33c | 888.27$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.9 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 3BL Esports | 42c | 690.81$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked 3BL Esports | 41c | 612.14$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.32 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 3BL Esports | 27c | 509$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 3BL Esports | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed 3BL Esports | 42c | 416$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed 3BL Esports | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked 3BL Esports | 34c | 281.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed HMBLE | 59c | 207.78$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed HMBLE | 60c | 206.3$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed 3BL Esports | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed HMBLE | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked HMBLE | 53c | 187.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed HMBLE | 51c | 179$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3BL Esports | 33c | 165.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HMBLE | 60c | 165.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked 3BL Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed 3BL Esports | 38c | 97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 3BL Esports | 47c | 92.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed 3BL Esports | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed 3BL Esports | 28c | 74.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed 3BL Esports | 40c | 72.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed HMBLE | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed HMBLE | 57c | 62.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 3BL Esports | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked HMBLE | 62c | 48.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked HMBLE | 66c | 48.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed 3BL Esports | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed 3BL Esports | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed 3BL Esports | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…08ddbacked 3BL Esports | 49c | 27.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked HMBLE | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: HMBLE vs 3BL Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: HMBLE (-1.5) vs 3BL Esports (+1.5)HMBLE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: HMBLE vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group EHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs 3BL Esports - Game 1 WinnerHMBLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.