Lol · resolved market
LoL: HMBLE vs 3BL Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bce96b3eaa5543b77987bc16b5301c6efd58c017c2290c41f4d732ad6b14f11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HMBLEof HMBLE, 3BL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,900 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed 3BL Esports | 40c | 5,757$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.82 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked HMBLE | 70c | 2,870$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.1 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 3BL Esports | 31c | 2,248$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked 3BL Esports | 31c | 1,833$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.59 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed HMBLE | 71c | 1,562$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.46 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 3BL Esports | 25c | 1,503$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.28 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed HMBLE | 65c | 1,131$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.19 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed 3BL Esports | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 3BL Esports | 14c | 753.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 3BL Esports | 28c | 689.83$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 3BL Esports | 28c | 639.6$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.06 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed 3BL Esports | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed HMBLE | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked 3BL Esports | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked 3BL Esports | 24c | 348$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HMBLE | 75c | 232.66$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed 3BL Esports | 21c | 225.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HMBLE | 73c | 217.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed 3BL Esports | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked 3BL Esports | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked 3BL Esports | 42c | 164$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked HMBLE | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 228 | 63.2%144 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3BL Esports | 25c | 129.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed HMBLE | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 3BL Esports | 15c | 126.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked 3BL Esports | 43c | 117.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 3BL Esports | 37c | 109.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked HMBLE | 20c | 95.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…ff9ebacked 3BL Esports | 27c | 94.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed 3BL Esports | 45c | 88.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed 3BL Esports | 19c | 83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 3BL Esports | 24c | 71.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked 3BL Esports | 27c | 66.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed 3BL Esports | 21c | 57.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked HMBLE | 66c | 54.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed HMBLE | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed 3BL Esports | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed 3BL Esports | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked 3BL Esports | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked 3BL Esports | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed HMBLE | 70c | 45.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked HMBLE | 65c | 41.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed HMBLE | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed HMBLE | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed 3BL Esports | 36c | 39.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked 3BL Esports | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 453 | 44.6%202 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked 3BL Esports | 45c | 34.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked 3BL Esports | 44c | 34.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed HMBLE | 66c | 31.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked HMBLE | 77c | 23.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…bce5backed HMBLE | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed HMBLE | 80c | 15.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: HMBLE vs 3BL Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: HMBLE (-1.5) vs 3BL Esports (+1.5)HMBLE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: HMBLE vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group EHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs 3BL Esports - Game 2 WinnerHMBLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.