Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37c8c0d59ee889413c106ab38b998ec7dd5490ad965c0439c1edbf342bb6a040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 48c | 11,482$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925.5 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 51c | 8,011$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,085.4 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Over | 53c | 3,894$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.84 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 54c | 3,890$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.58 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 52c | 1,720$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.53 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 47c | 1,528$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.19 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Under | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Under | 48c | 792.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.69 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 53c | 742.37$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.2 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Under | 47c | 615.77$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.56 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 48c | 476$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.52 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 48c | 257$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Under | 47c | 84.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 47c | 60.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Under | 48c | 40.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 53c | 26.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…570cbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.