Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4a0319742af3e360923eb3bb216e3b69c3216dde883e5b79f938e5f603cfa59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 38c | 8,649$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.59 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Under | 62c | 6,255$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.84 | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 35c | 5,800$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 62c | 5,506$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.27 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Under | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 64c | 1,603$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.96 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 65c | 1,547$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.82 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 1,126$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.2 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 60c | 1,049$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.68 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Over | 33c | 1,037$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.13 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Under | 62c | 850$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 37c | 821.63$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.43 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 37c | 728.11$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.33 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 35c | 640$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Over | 24c | 595$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Under | 74c | 525$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…5808backed Under | 62c | 498.45$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Under | 76c | 468.35$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 218 | 59.6%130 W · 88 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Under | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Over | 35c | 440.5$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.18 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 21c | 382.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Over | 31c | 298.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…17febacked Under | 67c | 298.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 77c | 292.09$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 34c | 204.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 34c | 197$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 31c | 164.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 31c | 149.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…96f4backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…0ddcbacked Under | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 11c | 124.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 67c | 123.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 63c | 114$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 109.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 36c | 75.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 66c | 67.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Under | 60c | 64.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…bd9abacked Under | 79c | 33.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 311 | 59.8%186 W · 125 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed Under | 66c | 29.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 45c | 26.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd658…4dbebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 59c | 18.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 66c | 16.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…b463backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.