CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3857acda8988f2cde1fdc67b8ee8d70983a9f7c6925a5b034e852440856a362b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof STATE, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Acend | 67c | 1,549$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 71c | 1,447$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Acend | 71c | 1,426$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.58 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Acend | 62c | 1,132$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.87 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed STATE | 35c | 741.95$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.51 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed STATE | 25c | 628.37$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked STATE | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked STATE | 11c | 496.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Acend | 79c | 468.39$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Acend | 66c | 466.67$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.67 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed STATE | 27c | 416.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed STATE | 28c | 410$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed STATE | 35c | 406.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Acend | 68c | 372$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.21 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Acend | 47c | 338.52$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed Acend | 68c | 323.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed STATE | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed STATE | 33c | 271$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed STATE | 42c | 252.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed STATE | 35c | 248$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Acend | 66c | 224.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed STATE | 34c | 172$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked STATE | 19c | 148.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked STATE | 38c | 148$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Acend | 66c | 143.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed STATE | 33c | 139.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed STATE | 38c | 136.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed STATE | 9c | 136.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed STATE | 26c | 131.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed STATE | 51c | 130$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked STATE | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked STATE | 29c | 128.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked STATE | 13c | 128$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked STATE | 37c | 114$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked STATE | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked STATE | 36c | 102$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed STATE | 17c | 100.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed STATE | 22c | 96.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed STATE | 31c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed STATE | 17c | 86.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Acend | 73c | 79.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…c177backed Acend | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed STATE | 32c | 73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Acend | 58c | 62.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked STATE | 26c | 58.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Acend | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Acend | 66c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed STATE | 29c | 36.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Acend | 57c | 34.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked STATE | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Acend | 64c | 23.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Acend | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…9b3ebacked Acend | 76c | 16.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Acend | 68c | 14.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Acend - Map 1 WinnerAcend won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Acend - Map 2 WinnerSTATE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.