Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rancho Santa Fe: Jean Baptiste Badon vs Emon Van Loben Sels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38713f72b1ecdc2b48130f6dc8b08f6a6ef8ac94ae28df3ea75bf7251dd4d2b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Emon Van Loben Selsof Jean Baptiste Badon, Emon Van Loben Sels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Emon Van Loben Sels | 31c | 3,275$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.12 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jean Baptiste Badon | 69c | 1,573$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Jean Baptiste Badon | 69c | 771.74$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.94 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Jean Baptiste Badon | 70c | 310$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 40c | 216.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Jean Baptiste Badon | 55c | 199$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Emon Van Loben Sels | 39c | 191.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Jean Baptiste Badon | 69c | 152$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Jean Baptiste Badon | 70c | 136$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Jean Baptiste Badon | 70c | 134.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Jean Baptiste Badon | 60c | 110.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Jean Baptiste Badon | 60c | 96.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Jean Baptiste Badon | 71c | 77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Jean Baptiste Badon | 69c | 75.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Jean Baptiste Badon | 39c | 63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Jean Baptiste Badon | 69c | 49.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Jean Baptiste Badon | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Emon Van Loben Sels | 45c | 33.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Emon Van Loben Sels | 32c | 32.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Jean Baptiste Badon | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Jean Baptiste Badon | 72c | 29.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Jean Baptiste Badon | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 42c | 24.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Jean Baptiste Badon | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Jean Baptiste Badon | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Jean Baptiste Badon | 68c | 17.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Jean Baptiste Badon | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.