MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x387564739eba240c006549d70b90667dd704246999ec24b29c10b44c4cfa2664

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $379,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $374,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,064 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x777d…5143backed Under	53c	210,235$111,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111,668.47	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+20%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	47c	190,442$89,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100,932.65	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6308…5d18backed Over	48c	138,054$66,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71,869.02	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.37per pick	47cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under	52c	57,692$30,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,000	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	52c	34,607$18,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,137.88	1,355	49.8%675 W · 680 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	52c	20,166$10,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,486.36	650	50.3%327 W · 323 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	47c	2,739$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,456.48	7,046	50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under	53c	1,950$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,033.84	135	49.6%67 W · 68 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	52c	1,667$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.84	1,924	53.4%1,028 W · 896 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	54c	1,425$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.22	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	54c	1,425$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.22	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	52c	1,251$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653	678	49.3%334 W · 344 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Under	53c	1,101$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.07	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc9…a64cbacked Over	48c	955.42$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.82	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	54c	900.67$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.18	393	51.9%204 W · 189 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over	46c	645.98$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.83	96	35.4%34 W · 62 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Under	54c	562.73$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.88	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	52c	372.94$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.93	1,053	47.3%498 W · 555 L	-14.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under	52c	365.66$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.73	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd45…f2aabacked Under	53c	307.09$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.76	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Over	46c	300$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.3wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over	48c	281.98$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.63	277	51.3%142 W · 135 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	48c	274.83$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.91	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	46c	212.39$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.69	218	47.7%104 W · 114 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Under	51c	208.68$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.43	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	53c	204.36$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.05	1,630	55.2%899 W · 731 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under	53c	183.36$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.18	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under	54c	180.38$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.22	243	48.1%117 W · 126 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under	54c	180.07$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.24	183	45.4%83 W · 100 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under	59c	149.66$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.3	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Under	52c	140.08$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.84	665	51.1%340 W · 325 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	41c	123.09$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.62	781	46.4%362 W · 419 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under	53c	106.53$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.46	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	46c	104.44$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.4	1,157	49.2%569 W · 588 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over	47c	103$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.59	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under	52c	97.31$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.54	482	50.6%244 W · 238 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Under	52c	97.12$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under	53c	94.84$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.27	307	50.2%154 W · 153 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed Under	54c	89.46$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.31	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1d3…f4f1backed Over	48c	75.29$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.15	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Over	47c	70.2$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.21	272	52.9%144 W · 128 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	47c	58.36$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.1	9,862	46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L	+40.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under	52c	57.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.97	144	44.4%64 W · 80 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over	47c	54.69$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.99	261	51%133 W · 128 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under	52c	54.43$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.3	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under	53c	50.53$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.78	726	48.1%349 W · 377 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over	48c	50.46$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.24	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under	52c	43.82$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.99	194	52.6%102 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a27…2fdcbacked Under	51c	42.23$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	116	49.1%57 W · 59 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	53c	41.55$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.14	127	61.4%78 W · 49 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda39…f5babacked Under	52c	37.3$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x442e…a738backed Under	51c	36.86$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Under	53c	36.28$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.33	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under	54c	34.71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa002…24eebacked Over	48c	32.07$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.68	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under	52c	30.86$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.97	144	42.4%61 W · 83 L	-9.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under	53c	27.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x02c0…d718backed Under	53c	27.21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.35per pick	48cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8f3…8279backed Under	51c	26.76$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcf4…a399backed Under	53c	22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under	53c	21.76$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.62	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2af7…37e2backed Under	51c	20.36$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-5.2wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under	53c	20.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	172	44.2%76 W · 96 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over	57c	19.76$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.56	1,001	57.3%574 W · 427 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under	54c	18.52$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	310	46.5%144 W · 166 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5this page
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event